San Jose Sharks
SJS · 27-25-4
1–4
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 24-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
01611207135
CGY
06110313429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Sharks trail the season series 1–3
SJS 27-25-4 · CGY 24-27-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Sharks trail the season series 1–3
Sharks fell to the Flames
The Sharks were outchanced (2.7 to 1.6 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.6, on 29 and 35 shots on goal.
SJS 1.6 xG · 35 shots
CGY 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
0.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 01:17 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 15:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Connor Zary · 3rd 05:22 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 11:56 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 17:30 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 31.
SJS 31%CGY 69%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 01:17 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 15:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Connor Zary · 3rd 05:22 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 11:56 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 17:30 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:10
Blake Coleman· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:19
Sam Dickinson· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:38
Mario Ferraro· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:31
Kiefer Sherwood· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:55
Morgan Frost· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
17:23
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
3rd period
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Sharks went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Flames power plays.