San Jose Sharks
SJS · 36-31-7
4–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 32-31-13
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
2101817425
TOR
061509120
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks lead the season series 2–0
SJS 36-31-7 · TOR 32-31-13 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks lead the season series 2–0
Sharks beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (1.6 to 1.7 expected goals); the Sharks won 4–1. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 25 and 20 shots on goal.
SJS 1.6 xG · 25 shots
TOR 1.7 xG · 20 shots
0
1
1st
0.7 · 0.2
2nd
0.5 · 0.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zack Ostapchuk · 1st 03:27 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Collin Graf · 1st 17:43 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
William Eklund · 2nd 01:42 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 06:43 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Adam Gaudette · 3rd 19:03 · 4–1 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 49.
SJS 49%TOR 51%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zack Ostapchuk · 1st 03:27 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Collin Graf · 1st 17:43 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
William Eklund · 2nd 01:42 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 06:43 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Adam Gaudette · 3rd 19:03 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Alexander Wennberg, Kiefer Sherwood · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:35
Michael Misa· Interference
Tavares scored on this power play
Minor
4
Easton Cowan, William Nylander · Power play (Misa, interference) · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:23
Dakota Joshua· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:03
Dakota Joshua· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sharks went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Maple Leafs power play.