Seattle Kraken
SEA · 32-21-6
1–5
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 37-15-8
1ST2ND3RDT
SEA
1701505127
TOR
3201419533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
SEA 32-21-6 · TOR 37-15-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Kraken fell to the Maple Leafs
The Kraken were outchanced (4.0 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Ilya Samsonov stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 27 shots on goal.
SEA 2.7 xG · 27 shots
TOR 4.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.6 · 2.9
2nd
1.5 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vince Dunn · 1st 03:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mark Giordano · 1st 04:58 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 1st 07:06 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Timothy Liljegren · 1st 12:51 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:13 · 1–4 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 12:31 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kraken win 31.
SEA 31%TOR 69%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vince Dunn · 1st 03:47 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mark Giordano · 1st 04:58 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 1st 07:06 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Timothy Liljegren · 1st 12:51 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:13 · 1–4
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 12:31 · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2
Timothy Liljegren, William Nylander · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/12 saves · 1 GA · 1.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.