Seattle Kraken
SEA · 2-2
3–2
Final / OTW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
SEA
2180120914343
COL
08260701222
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
SEA 2-2 · COL 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Kraken beat the Avalanche
The Kraken earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 2.1, and they won it in overtime on Eberle's goal. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 43 and 22 shots on goal.
SEA 4.5 xG · 43 shots
COL 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
OT
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Will Borgen · 1st 03:56 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Daniel Sprong · 1st 10:09 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 14:08 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:10 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Eberle · OT 03:00 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kraken win 82.
SEA 82%COL 18%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Will Borgen · 1st 03:56 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Daniel Sprong · 1st 10:09 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 14:08 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:10 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Eberle · OT 03:00 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
40/43 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.