Seattle Kraken
SEA · 6-4
7–2
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 5-4
1ST2ND3RDT
SEA
095828725
DAL
0411715226
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Kraken lead the series 2–1
SEA 6-4 · DAL 5-4 · Game 3 — the Kraken lead the series 2–1
Kraken beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.1 expected goals); the Kraken won 7–2. Jake Oettinger allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 25 and 26 shots on goal.
SEA 2.3 xG · 25 shots
DAL 2.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Eberle · 2nd 02:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 03:36 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Carson Soucy · 2nd 06:30 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Matty Beniers · 2nd 08:22 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 12:40 · 4–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 19:21 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 01:49 · 6–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 07:00 · 6–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Justin Schultz · 3rd 17:30 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kraken win 54.
SEA 54%DAL 46%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Eberle · 2nd 02:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 03:36 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Carson Soucy · 2nd 06:30 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Matty Beniers · 2nd 08:22 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 12:40 · 4–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 19:21 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 01:49 · SH · 6–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 07:00 · 6–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Justin Schultz · 3rd 17:30 · PP · 7–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
9
Eeli Tolvanen, Alexander Wennberg · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7–2
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
12/17 saves · 5 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.