SEA
3–6
DAL
Final · L
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 6-5
3–6
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
SEA
051529319
DAL
11141113625
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
SEA 6-5 · DAL 6-4 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Kraken fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.5 expected goals); the Kraken lost 3–6. Philipp Grubauer allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 19 and 25 shots on goal.
SEA 2.8 xG · 19 shots
DAL 2.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.2
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jamie Benn · 1st 17:13 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Thomas Harley · 2nd 04:46 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Max Domi · 2nd 09:25 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 10:50 · 0–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Jaden Schwartz · 2nd 11:46 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Roope Hintz · 2nd 19:07 · 1–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Jaden Schwartz · 3rd 03:24 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
8
Adam Larsson · 3rd 15:49 · 3–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Max Domi · 3rd 17:39 · 3–6 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kraken win 56.
SEA 56%DAL 44%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Kraken shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jamie Benn · 1st 17:13 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Thomas Harley · 2nd 04:46 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Max Domi · 2nd 09:25 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 10:50 · PP · GWG · 0–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Jaden Schwartz · 2nd 11:46 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Roope Hintz · 2nd 19:07 · 1–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Jaden Schwartz · 3rd 03:24 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
8
Adam Larsson · 3rd 15:49 · 3–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Max Domi · 3rd 17:39 · EN · 3–6
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
2/2 saves · 0 GA · 0.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
