SEA
6–3
DAL
Final · W
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 7-6
6–3
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-5
1ST2ND3RDT
SEA
2162825629
DAL
1511216323
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
SEA 7-6 · DAL 7-5 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Kraken beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.7 expected goals); the Kraken won 6–3. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
SEA 2.5 xG · 29 shots
DAL 2.7 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yanni Gourde · 1st 08:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Mason Marchment · 1st 09:30 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jordan Eberle · 1st 16:46 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 01:34 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Tye Kartye · 2nd 04:23 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 05:37 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Matty Beniers · 3rd 08:43 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 08:58 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Jordan Eberle · 3rd 19:02 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kraken win 47.
SEA 47%DAL 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Kraken shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yanni Gourde · 1st 08:59 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Mason Marchment · 1st 09:30 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jordan Eberle · 1st 16:46 · PP · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 01:34 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Tye Kartye · 2nd 04:23 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 05:37 · PP · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Matty Beniers · 3rd 08:43 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 08:58 · 5–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Jordan Eberle · 3rd 19:02 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
