Seattle Kraken
SEA · 28-29-13
1–5
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 26-32-12
1ST2ND3RDT
SEA
010117010137
MTL
471802517
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Kraken trail the season series 0–2
SEA 28-29-13 · MTL 26-32-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the Kraken trail the season series 0–2
Kraken fell to the Canadiens
The Kraken created the better chances (3.1 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 1–5. Philipp Grubauer allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.5, on 37 and 17 shots on goal.
SEA 3.1 xG · 37 shots
MTL 1.5 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kaiden Guhle · 1st 04:18 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Alex Newhook · 1st 06:22 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nick Suzuki · 1st 17:33 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Alex Newhook · 1st 18:00 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Eberle · 2nd 00:56 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Mike Matheson · 2nd 13:16 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kraken win 76.
SEA 76%MTL 24%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kaiden Guhle · 1st 04:18 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Alex Newhook · 1st 06:22 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nick Suzuki · 1st 17:33 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Alex Newhook · 1st 18:00 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Eberle · 2nd 00:56 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Mike Matheson · 2nd 13:16 · SH · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
10/11 saves · 1 GA · 1.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
2/6 saves · 4 GA · 0.5 xGA
Allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.