TBL
2–0
FLA
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 8-3
2–0
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 4-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
03012211226
FLA
018016015049
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Lightning lead the series 4–0
TBL 8-3 · FLA 4-6 · Game 4 — the Lightning lead the series 4–0
Lightning beat the Panthers
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.5 expected goals); the Lightning won 2–0. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.5, on 26 and 49 shots on goal.
TBL 3.3 xG · 26 shots
FLA 3.5 xG · 49 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.3
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Patrick Maroon · 3rd 06:16 · 1–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 19:37 · 2–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 47.
TBL 47%FLA 53%
Goals and penalties
2 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Patrick Maroon · 3rd 06:16 · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 2–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
49/49 saves · 0 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
