TBL
3–2
NYR
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 9-5
3–2
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 10-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
015118219352
NYR
01221206230
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Lightning trail the series 1–2
TBL 9-5 · NYR 10-7 · Game 3 — the Lightning trail the series 1–2
Lightning beat the Rangers
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Lightning erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Stamkos's equalizer — and won 3–2. Igor Shesterkin stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 3.4, on 52 and 30 shots on goal.
TBL 4.5 xG · 52 shots
NYR 3.4 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.6 · 2.0
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 07:37 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 09:44 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 10:50 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 01:22 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 19:18 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 65.
TBL 65%NYR 35%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 07:37 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 09:44 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 10:50 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 01:22 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 19:18 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
49/52 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
