TBL
2–1
NYR
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 12-5
2–1
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 10-10
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
01111218231
NYR
070618121
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Lightning lead the series 4–2
TBL 12-5 · NYR 10-10 · Game 6 — the Lightning lead the series 4–2
Lightning beat the Rangers
The Lightning earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.4, and a 2–1 win to show for it. Igor Shesterkin stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.4, on 31 and 21 shots on goal.
TBL 3.1 xG · 31 shots
NYR 1.4 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.2
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 10:43 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 13:07 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 13:28 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 79.
TBL 79%NYR 21%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 10:43 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 13:07 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 13:28 · GWG · 2–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
