TBL
2–3
COL
Final / OT · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 13-8
2–3
Final / OTL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 15-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
1171901003239
COL
0411716110337
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Lightning trail the series 1–3
TBL 13-8 · COL 15-3 · Game 4 — the Lightning trail the series 1–3
Lightning fell to the Avalanche
The Lightning were outchanced (4.1 to 3.1 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Kadri's goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 37 and 39 shots on goal.
TBL 3.1 xG · 39 shots
COL 4.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.3
3rd
0.4 · 0.4
OT
0.3 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 00:36 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 05:17 · 1–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Victor Hedman · 2nd 10:42 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 02:53 · 2–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
5
Nazem Kadri · OT 12:02 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 35.
TBL 35%COL 65%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 00:36 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 05:17 · PP · 1–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Victor Hedman · 2nd 10:42 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 02:53 · 2–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
5
Nazem Kadri · OT 12:02 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
