TBL
1–2
COL
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 14-9
1–2
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
1100904123
COL
0821309230
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Lightning trail the series 2–4
TBL 14-9 · COL 16-4 · Game 6 — the Lightning trail the series 2–4
Lightning fell to the Avalanche
The Lightning were outchanced (3.3 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 1–2. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 30 and 23 shots on goal.
TBL 1.9 xG · 23 shots
COL 3.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 03:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 01:54 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 12:28 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 27.
TBL 27%COL 73%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 03:48 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 01:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 12:28 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
