TBL
5–3
NYI
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 3-3-0
5–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 2-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
2721415526
NYI
111111113335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 3-3-0 · NYI 2-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Islanders
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.4 expected goals); the Lightning won 5–3. Ilya Sorokin allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.4, on 26 and 35 shots on goal.
TBL 3.0 xG · 26 shots
NYI 3.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.3
2nd
1.4 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 10:43 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Matt Martin · 1st 12:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 1st 18:03 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Corey Perry · 2nd 03:12 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 09:36 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Nick Paul · 2nd 19:59 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Pulock · 3rd 05:45 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Alex Killorn · 3rd 14:08 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 44.
TBL 44%NYI 56%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 10:43 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Matt Martin · 1st 12:29 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 1st 18:03 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Corey Perry · 2nd 03:12 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 09:36 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Nick Paul · 2nd 19:59 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Pulock · 3rd 05:45 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Alex Killorn · 3rd 14:08 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
