TBL
6–3
WSH
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 8-6-1
6–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 7-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
4909217635
WSH
0416212322
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 8-6-1 · WSH 7-8-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Capitals
The Lightning earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
TBL 3.1 xG · 35 shots
WSH 2.0 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 0.4
3rd
1.5 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 01:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 08:19 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Nick Perbix · 1st 11:12 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 16:22 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Conor Sheary · 2nd 18:04 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Cole Koepke · 3rd 13:11 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Lars Eller · 3rd 16:59 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nick Paul · 3rd 17:16 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 17:58 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 69.
TBL 69%WSH 31%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 01:23 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 08:19 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Nick Perbix · 1st 11:12 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 16:22 · PP · GWG · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Conor Sheary · 2nd 18:04 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Cole Koepke · 3rd 13:11 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Lars Eller · 3rd 16:59 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nick Paul · 3rd 17:16 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 17:58 · 6–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Marcus Johansson, Trevor van Riemsdyk · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–2
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
