TBL
3–5
BOS
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 11-7-1
3–5
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 17-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11407214335
BOS
1731418529
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 11-7-1 · BOS 17-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.7 expected goals); the Lightning lost 3–5. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
TBL 2.9 xG · 35 shots
BOS 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 1st 08:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
David Krejci · 1st 15:36 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nick Foligno · 2nd 05:07 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 05:38 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Brad Marchand · 2nd 15:08 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
David Pastrnak · 3rd 03:51 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Rudolfs Balcers · 3rd 04:02 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Nick Paul · 3rd 10:38 · 3–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 52.
TBL 52%BOS 48%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 1st 08:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
David Krejci · 1st 15:36 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nick Foligno · 2nd 05:07 · PP · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 05:38 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Brad Marchand · 2nd 15:08 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
David Pastrnak · 3rd 03:51 · PP · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Rudolfs Balcers · 3rd 04:02 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Nick Paul · 3rd 10:38 · PP · 3–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
