TBL
4–3
TOR
Final / OT · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 15-8-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 15-5-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
01111121011433
TOR
0122191800339
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 15-8-1 · TOR 15-5-6 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.9 expected goals); the Lightning won it in overtime on Killorn's goal. The Lightning scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.9, on 33 and 39 shots on goal.
TBL 3.6 xG · 33 shots
TOR 3.9 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.4
2nd
1.0 · 1.7
3rd
1.5 · 0.8
OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 2nd 05:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Vladislav Namestnikov · 2nd 07:40 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
William Nylander · 2nd 16:50 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 01:51 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 3rd 04:34 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Mitch Marner · 3rd 11:55 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Alex Killorn · OT 00:33 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 46.
TBL 46%TOR 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 2nd 05:18 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Vladislav Namestnikov · 2nd 07:40 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
William Nylander · 2nd 16:50 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 01:51 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 3rd 04:34 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Mitch Marner · 3rd 11:55 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Alex Killorn · OT 00:33 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Auston Matthews, Michael Bunting · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
6
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–3
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
