TBL
4–1
FLA
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 17-9-1
4–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 13-11-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11908311438
FLA
0916010125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 17-9-1 · FLA 13-11-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Panthers
The Lightning earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 3.4, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 38 and 25 shots on goal.
TBL 4.1 xG · 38 shots
FLA 3.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.8 · 1.8
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Patrick Maroon · 1st 08:40 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Zac Dalpe · 2nd 06:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 03:03 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 07:22 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 16:45 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 60.
TBL 60%FLA 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Patrick Maroon · 1st 08:40 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Zac Dalpe · 2nd 06:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 03:03 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 07:22 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 16:45 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
