TBL
4–1
MTL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 21-11-1
4–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 15-17-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
213113112438
MTL
0100917126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 21-11-1 · MTL 15-17-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Canadiens
The Lightning earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Lightning owned the 2nd period, 2.2 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 38 and 26 shots on goal.
TBL 4.8 xG · 38 shots
MTL 1.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
2.2 · 0.8
3rd
1.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Killorn · 1st 01:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brayden Point · 1st 14:09 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 16:00 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 08:31 · 4–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Kaiden Guhle · 3rd 17:21 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 89.
TBL 89%MTL 11%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Killorn · 1st 01:55 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brayden Point · 1st 14:09 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 16:00 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 08:31 · 4–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Kaiden Guhle · 3rd 17:21 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
