Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 22-11-1
2–1
Final / SOW
New York Rangers
NYR · 19-12-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TBL
012014111031240
NYR
112019010050146
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 22-11-1 · NYR 19-12-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Rangers
Chances were even (3.9 to 4.3 expected goals); the Lightning won it in a shootout. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 3.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 4.3, on 40 and 46 shots on goal.
TBL 3.9 xG · 40 shots
NYR 4.3 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.2
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
OT
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 12:45 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 3rd 05:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 45.
TBL 45%NYR 55%
Goals and penalties
2 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 12:45 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 3rd 05:32 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Lightning
Goaltending
45/46 saves · 1 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 3.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
39/40 saves · 1 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.