TBL
6–3
CBJ
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 25-13-1
6–3
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 12-26-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
221112313646
CBJ
0617211324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
TBL 25-13-1 · CBJ 12-26-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
Lightning beat the Blue Jackets
The Lightning earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Elvis Merzlikins allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 46 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 3.7 xG · 46 shots
CBJ 2.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
1.4 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:40 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Nick Paul · 1st 09:05 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 07:04 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Vladislav Namestnikov · 2nd 10:25 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Tim Berni · 3rd 04:35 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 06:33 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 12:22 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Ross Colton · 3rd 13:48 · 6–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
9
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 16:34 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 62.
TBL 62%CBJ 38%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Blue Jackets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:40 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Nick Paul · 1st 09:05 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 07:04 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Vladislav Namestnikov · 2nd 10:25 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Tim Berni · 3rd 04:35 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 06:33 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 12:22 · PP · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Ross Colton · 3rd 13:48 · 6–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
9
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 16:34 · 6–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
40/46 saves · 6 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
