TBL
5–2
LAK
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 32-15-1
5–2
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 28-18-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
3711711525
LAK
1101909228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 32-15-1 · LAK 28-18-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Kings
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.5 expected goals); the Lightning won 5–2. Jonathan Quick allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.5, on 25 and 28 shots on goal.
TBL 2.0 xG · 25 shots
LAK 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 0.3
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 05:02 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 1st 06:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
· 1st 10:12 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 1st 15:57 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 2nd 15:20 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Phillip Danault · 2nd 19:08 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Victor Hedman · 3rd 16:03 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 41.
TBL 41%LAK 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Kings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 05:02 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 1st 06:21 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
· 1st 10:12 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 1st 15:57 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 2nd 15:20 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Phillip Danault · 2nd 19:08 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Victor Hedman · 3rd 16:03 · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
4
Nick Perbix, Vladislav Namestnikov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
