TBL
3–4
SJS
Final / OT · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 32-16-2
3–4
Final / OTL
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 16-25-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
3170501500337
SJS
17171711422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 32-16-2 · SJS 16-25-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning fell to the Sharks
The Lightning let a 3–1 lead get away: the Sharks came back with three unanswered goals — Gadjovich's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Meier's goal. Brian Elliott allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 37 and 22 shots on goal.
TBL 3.7 xG · 37 shots
SJS 2.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 1st 02:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Erik Karlsson · 1st 06:28 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 1st 09:21 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 1st 16:44 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Timo Meier · 2nd 16:23 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Jonah Gadjovich · 3rd 03:08 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Timo Meier · OT 02:19 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 69.
TBL 69%SJS 31%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Sharks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 1st 02:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Erik Karlsson · 1st 06:28 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 1st 09:21 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 1st 16:44 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Timo Meier · 2nd 16:23 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Jonah Gadjovich · 3rd 03:08 · 3–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Timo Meier · OT 02:19 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Scott Harrington, Erik Karlsson · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–3
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
