TBL
5–0
COL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 33-16-2
5–0
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 27-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11531017532
COL
0901506030
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 33-16-2 · COL 27-19-4 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Avalanche
The Lightning earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 3.1, and a 5–0 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
TBL 4.1 xG · 32 shots
COL 3.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.9
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Corey Perry · 1st 15:15 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 08:32 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 10:29 · 3–0 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 18:07 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 05:44 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 64.
TBL 64%COL 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Corey Perry · 1st 15:15 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 08:32 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 10:29 · PP · 3–0
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 18:07 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 05:44 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Anthony Cirelli, Alex Killorn · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
5
Brayden Point, Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5–0
No penalties
Goaltending
30/30 saves · 0 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
