TBL
6–1
ANA
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 36-17-3
6–1
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 17-34-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
09422213644
ANA
01201112125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 36-17-3 · ANA 17-34-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Ducks
The Lightning earned it: 5.4 expected goals to 2.9, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 5.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 44 and 25 shots on goal.
TBL 5.4 xG · 44 shots
ANA 2.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.2 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
2.7 · 0.1
3rd
1.6 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 2nd 07:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Ross Colton · 2nd 09:48 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 10:51 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Zach Bogosian · 2nd 13:10 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 01:06 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Corey Perry · 3rd 02:23 · 6–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Ryan Strome · 3rd 06:28 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 80.
TBL 80%ANA 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 2nd 07:15 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Ross Colton · 2nd 09:48 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 10:51 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Zach Bogosian · 2nd 13:10 · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 01:06 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Corey Perry · 3rd 02:23 · 6–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Ryan Strome · 3rd 06:28 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
38/44 saves · 6 GA · 5.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
