Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 37-19-4
1–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 30-26-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0417018129
FLA
31602114441
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
TBL 37-19-4 · FLA 30-26-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Lightning fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (4.1 to 4.2 expected goals); the Lightning lost 1–4. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.1 expected goals to 4.2, on 29 and 41 shots on goal.
TBL 4.1 xG · 29 shots
FLA 4.2 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.7
2nd
0.7 · 2.1
3rd · the swing
2.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eric Staal · 1st 06:19 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 15:56 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 1st 17:37 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 11:39 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Anthony Duclair · 3rd 19:55 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 49.
TBL 49%FLA 51%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eric Staal · 1st 06:19 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 15:56 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 1st 17:37 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 11:39 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Anthony Duclair · 3rd 19:55 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.