TBL
4–5
PIT
Final / OT · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 37-19-5
4–5
Final / OTL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 31-21-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
1811121101431
PIT
0133101811532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–3
TBL 37-19-5 · PIT 31-21-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–3
Lightning fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.6 expected goals); the Lightning lost it in overtime on Zucker's goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 2.6 xG · 31 shots
PIT 2.6 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 1st 05:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jeff Petry · 2nd 06:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jeff Petry · 2nd 06:31 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 09:39 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jason Zucker · 2nd 15:06 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 00:38 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 06:59 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Victor Hedman · 3rd 15:50 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Jason Zucker · OT 02:13 · 4–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 49.
TBL 49%PIT 51%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 1st 05:39 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jeff Petry · 2nd 06:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jeff Petry · 2nd 06:31 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 09:39 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jason Zucker · 2nd 15:06 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 00:38 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 06:59 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Victor Hedman · 3rd 15:50 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Jason Zucker · OT 02:13 · GWG · 4–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Nikita Kucherov, Andrei Vasilevskiy · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–3
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
