TBL
3–1
CHI
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 39-21-6
3–1
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 22-38-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
07115215337
CHI
0401019123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 39-21-6 · CHI 22-38-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Blackhawks
The Lightning earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, and a 3–1 win to show for it. Point's winner came with 1:00 left. Petr Mrazek stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 37 and 23 shots on goal.
TBL 3.5 xG · 37 shots
CHI 2.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
3rd
1.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 2nd 06:21 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Taylor Raddysh · 3rd 05:23 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 19:00 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:58 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 72.
TBL 72%CHI 28%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 2nd 06:21 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Taylor Raddysh · 3rd 05:23 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 19:00 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
3
Nikita Kucherov, Mikhail Sergachev · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–1
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
