TBL
2–3
WPG
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 39-22-6
2–3
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 38-26-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
17114014235
WPG
1428010322
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
TBL 39-22-6 · WPG 38-26-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
Lightning fell to the Jets
The Lightning created the better chances (3.4 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
TBL 3.4 xG · 35 shots
WPG 2.2 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Killorn · 1st 01:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Nate Schmidt · 1st 10:15 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 01:01 · 1–2 · wrap around shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Morgan Barron · 2nd 09:04 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 10:01 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 69.
TBL 69%WPG 31%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Killorn · 1st 01:19 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Nate Schmidt · 1st 10:15 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 01:01 · PP · 1–2
Wrap around shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Morgan Barron · 2nd 09:04 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 10:01 · SH · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
