TBL
5–3
MTL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 42-22-6
5–3
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 27-37-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
113112316541
MTL
1621104321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
TBL 42-22-6 · MTL 27-37-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
Lightning beat the Canadiens
The Lightning earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.7, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Brian Elliott allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.7, on 41 and 21 shots on goal.
TBL 3.1 xG · 41 shots
MTL 1.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mike Hoffman · 1st 05:12 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 11:31 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 04:50 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Denis Gurianov · 2nd 06:29 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jesse Ylonen · 2nd 12:23 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 03:14 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 05:58 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:16 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 74.
TBL 74%MTL 26%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mike Hoffman · 1st 05:12 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 11:31 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 04:50 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Denis Gurianov · 2nd 06:29 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jesse Ylonen · 2nd 12:23 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 03:14 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 05:58 · GWG · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:16 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Nikita Kucherov, Mikhail Sergachev · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
