Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 42-23-6
2–5
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 45-18-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
1101608224
NJD
010317212539
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
TBL 42-23-6 · NJD 45-18-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
Lightning fell to the Devils
The Lightning let a 2–0 lead get away: the Devils came back with five unanswered goals — Bratt's equalizer — and won 2–5.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 39 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 2.4 xG · 24 shots
NJD 3.3 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 03:26 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Alex Killorn · 2nd 06:30 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 06:39 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 09:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Nico Hischier · 2nd 12:02 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
· 3rd 09:51 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 19:48 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 36.
TBL 36%NJD 64%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 03:26 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Alex Killorn · 2nd 06:30 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 06:39 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 09:22 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Nico Hischier · 2nd 12:02 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
· 3rd 09:51 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 19:48 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Jonas Siegenthaler, Dougie Hamilton · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.