Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 46-30-6
5–0
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 35-37-10
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
13014415532
DET
01201505032
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
TBL 46-30-6 · DET 35-37-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Lightning beat the Red Wings
The Lightning earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–0 win to show for it. Brian Elliott stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 3.5 xG · 32 shots
DET 1.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Killorn · 1st 07:49 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 07:27 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 10:47 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Brayden Point · 3rd 15:59 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 19:50 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 77.
TBL 77%DET 23%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Killorn · 1st 07:49 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 07:27 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 10:47 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Brayden Point · 3rd 15:59 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 19:50 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.