TBL
5–3
NSH
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 1-0-0
5–3
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11205417534
NSH
02113216331
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 1-0-0 · NSH 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Predators
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.4 expected goals); the Lightning won 5–3. The Predators owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.4, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 3.8 xG · 34 shots
NSH 3.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.1
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
3rd
2.5 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 09:48 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 16:15 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 00:11 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nick Paul · 3rd 02:25 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 03:07 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Tommy Novak · 3rd 08:48 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 10:52 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
8
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:58 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 56.
TBL 56%NSH 44%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 09:48 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 16:15 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 00:11 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nick Paul · 3rd 02:25 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 03:07 · PS · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Tommy Novak · 3rd 08:48 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 10:52 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
8
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Brayden Point, Steven Stamkos · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–2
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
