TBL
4–3
VAN
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 2-2-1
4–3
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 2-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11321815436
VAN
01326110329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 2-2-1 · VAN 2-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Canucks
The Lightning earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2, and a 4–3 win to show for it. The Lightning scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
TBL 3.7 xG · 36 shots
VAN 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 1st 11:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Brock Boeser · 2nd 00:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Tyler Myers · 2nd 01:02 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 15:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 16:52 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 04:42 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
J.T. Miller · 3rd 18:11 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 72.
TBL 72%VAN 28%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 1st 11:10 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Brock Boeser · 2nd 00:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Tyler Myers · 2nd 01:02 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 15:43 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 16:52 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 04:42 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
J.T. Miller · 3rd 18:11 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
