TBL
3–4
TOR
Final / OT · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 2-2-2
3–4
Final / OTL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 3-2-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
3801201100331
TOR
11701022015452
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 2-2-2 · TOR 3-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Maple Leafs
The Lightning let a 3–1 lead get away: the Maple Leafs came back with three unanswered goals — Knies's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Tavares's goal. Joseph Woll stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 5.4 expected goals to 3.6, on 52 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 3.6 xG · 31 shots
TOR 5.4 xG · 52 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.0 · 1.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 2.5
OT
0.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 04:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Alex Barré-Boulet · 1st 10:04 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 13:29 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Knies · 3rd 12:11 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Knies · 3rd 14:33 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
John Tavares · OT 04:05 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 28.
TBL 28%TOR 72%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 04:16 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:26 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Alex Barré-Boulet · 1st 10:04 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 13:29 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Knies · 3rd 12:11 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Knies · 3rd 14:33 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
John Tavares · OT 04:05 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
48/52 saves · 4 GA · 5.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/27 saves · 0 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
