TBL
3–0
CAR
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 3-2-2
3–0
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
1121615323
CAR
08011013032
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 3-2-2 · CAR 3-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (1.9 to 2.4 expected goals); the Lightning won 3–0. Jonas Johansson stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 23 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 1.9 xG · 23 shots
CAR 2.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 19:06 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alex Barré-Boulet · 2nd 17:51 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nick Paul · 3rd 17:04 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 41.
TBL 41%CAR 59%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 19:06 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alex Barré-Boulet · 2nd 17:51 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nick Paul · 3rd 17:04 · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
