Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 4-2-3
3–4
Final / OTL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 3-5-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
1911511300337
SEA
3200130515443
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 4-2-3 · SEA 3-5-2 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Kraken
The Lightning were outchanced (4.3 to 2.9 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on McCann's goal. The Kraken owned the 1st period, 2.0 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 43 and 37 shots on goal.
TBL 2.9 xG · 37 shots
SEA 4.3 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.6 · 2.0
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
OT
0.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brian Dumoulin · 1st 12:08 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Yanni Gourde · 1st 13:08 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tanner Jeannot · 1st 13:37 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kailer Yamamoto · 1st 15:52 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
5
Alex Barré-Boulet · 2nd 03:40 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 14:32 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jared McCann · OT 02:53 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 29.
TBL 29%SEA 71%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brian Dumoulin · 1st 12:08 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Yanni Gourde · 1st 13:08 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tanner Jeannot · 1st 13:37 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kailer Yamamoto · 1st 15:52 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
5
Alex Barré-Boulet · 2nd 03:40 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 14:32 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jared McCann · OT 02:53 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Anthony Cirelli, Alex Barré-Boulet · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–3
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
39/43 saves · 4 GA · 4.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.