Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 6-4-4
3–5
FinalL
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 5-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
21401019333
CHI
41019010529
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 6-4-4 · CHI 5-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Blackhawks
The Lightning created the better chances (4.1 to 3.4 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Jonas Johansson allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 33 and 29 shots on goal.
TBL 4.1 xG · 33 shots
CHI 3.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 03:20 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Connor Bedard · 1st 04:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 12:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Kevin Korchinski · 1st 16:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Johnson · 1st 17:38 · 2–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
6
Connor Bedard · 1st 19:52 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Corey Perry · 2nd 02:12 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:50 · 3–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 61.
TBL 61%CHI 39%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 03:20 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Connor Bedard · 1st 04:42 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 12:31 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Kevin Korchinski · 1st 16:43 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Johnson · 1st 17:38 · 2–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
6
Connor Bedard · 1st 19:52 · GWG · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Corey Perry · 2nd 02:12 · PP · 2–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:50 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.