TBL
0–4
CAR
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 6-5-4
0–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 9-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0903010022
CAR
1151928432
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 6-5-4 · CAR 9-6-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning fell to the Hurricanes
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.3 expected goals); the Lightning lost 0–4. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 22 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 2.2 xG · 22 shots
CAR 2.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 03:10 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 04:32 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Brent Burns · 3rd 11:20 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 17:54 · 0–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 48.
TBL 48%CAR 52%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 03:10 · PP · GWG · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 04:32 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Brent Burns · 3rd 11:20 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 17:54 · 0–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/22 saves · 0 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
