TBL
6–4
EDM
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 8-6-4
6–4
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-10-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11013411624
EDM
21918115442
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 8-6-4 · EDM 5-10-1 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Oilers
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Lightning erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Stamkos's equalizer — and won 6–4. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.8, on 42 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 24 shots
EDM 4.9 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 1.8
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Derek Ryan · 1st 03:39 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
James Hamblin · 1st 08:31 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:09 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 12:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Derek Ryan · 2nd 15:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Tanner Jeannot · 3rd 03:54 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 08:04 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 09:28 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Luke Glendening · 3rd 10:07 · 5–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 19:05 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 23.
TBL 23%EDM 77%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Derek Ryan · 1st 03:39 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
James Hamblin · 1st 08:31 · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:09 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 12:56 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Derek Ryan · 2nd 15:55 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Tanner Jeannot · 3rd 03:54 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 08:04 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 09:28 · PP · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Luke Glendening · 3rd 10:07 · GWG · 5–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 19:05 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Michael Eyssimont, Mikhail Sergachev · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–3
No penalties
Goaltending
38/42 saves · 4 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
