Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 9-6-4
5–4
Final / OTW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 13-1-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
12011221411547
BOS
1120103500427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 9-6-4 · BOS 13-1-3 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Bruins
The Lightning earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in overtime on Hagel's goal. Jonas Johansson allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 47 and 27 shots on goal.
TBL 3.5 xG · 47 shots
BOS 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.1
2nd
1.2 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tanner Jeannot · 1st 06:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Pavel Zacha · 1st 09:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Nick Paul · 2nd 19:30 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
David Pastrnak · 3rd 06:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
John Beecher · 3rd 07:47 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 08:44 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 16:09 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:55 · 4–4 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Brandon Hagel · OT 01:19 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 70.
TBL 70%BOS 30%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tanner Jeannot · 1st 06:39 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Pavel Zacha · 1st 09:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Nick Paul · 2nd 19:30 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
David Pastrnak · 3rd 06:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
John Beecher · 3rd 07:47 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 08:44 · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 16:09 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:55 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Brandon Hagel · OT 01:19 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
42/47 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.