Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 9-6-5
2–3
Final / OTL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 11-5-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
1161100601233
WPG
2100110813332
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 9-6-5 · WPG 11-5-2 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.9 expected goals); the Lightning lost it in overtime on Lowry's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 2.9 xG · 33 shots
WPG 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
OT
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Morrissey · 1st 05:29 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Mark Scheifele · 1st 13:06 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 1st 18:06 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 06:13 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Adam Lowry · OT 01:39 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 50.
TBL 50%WPG 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Morrissey · 1st 05:29 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Mark Scheifele · 1st 13:06 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 1st 18:06 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 06:13 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Adam Lowry · OT 01:39 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.