TBL
2–4
PIT
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 10-9-5
2–4
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 11-10-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
21707017241
PIT
0521925429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 10-9-5 · PIT 11-10-1 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Penguins
The Lightning let a 2–0 lead get away: the Penguins came back with four unanswered goals — O'Connor's equalizer — and won 2–4. Tristan Jarry stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 41 and 29 shots on goal.
TBL 3.2 xG · 41 shots
PIT 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 09:06 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Tanner Jeannot · 1st 12:33 · 2–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 08:53 · 2–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
4
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 19:24 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jeff Carter · 3rd 02:49 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Tristan Jarry · 3rd 18:52 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 67.
TBL 67%PIT 33%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 09:06 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Tanner Jeannot · 1st 12:33 · PP · 2–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 08:53 · 2–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
4
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 19:24 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jeff Carter · 3rd 02:49 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Tristan Jarry · 3rd 18:52 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Mikhail Sergachev, Nikita Kucherov · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
