TBL
4–0
DAL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 11-10-5
4–0
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 14-6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
2110428423
DAL
01001005025
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 11-10-5 · DAL 14-6-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Stars
The Lightning earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 23 and 25 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 23 shots
DAL 1.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.3 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 07:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 18:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Luke Glendening · 3rd 03:05 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 12:12 · 4–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 70.
TBL 70%DAL 30%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 07:47 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 18:21 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Luke Glendening · 3rd 03:05 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 12:12 · 4–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/25 saves · 0 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
