TBL
6–1
STL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 15-13-5
6–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 15-15-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
31421019633
STL
05013111129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 15-13-5 · STL 15-15-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.6 to 3.0 expected goals); the Lightning won 6–1. Jordan Binnington allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 33 and 29 shots on goal.
TBL 2.6 xG · 33 shots
STL 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 02:23 · 1–0 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 17:10 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:46 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 01:36 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Haydn Fleury · 2nd 12:13 · 5–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Nick Paul · 3rd 07:53 · 6–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
7
Justin Faulk · 3rd 15:57 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 44.
TBL 44%STL 56%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 02:23 · 1–0
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 17:10 · GWG · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:46 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 01:36 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Haydn Fleury · 2nd 12:13 · 5–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Nick Paul · 3rd 07:53 · PP · 6–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
7
Justin Faulk · 3rd 15:57 · PP · 6–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
