Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 16-13-5
5–4
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 21-8-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
011413112536
VGK
29012213434
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 16-13-5 · VGK 21-8-5 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Golden Knights
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Lightning erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Kucherov's equalizer — and won 5–4. Jiri Patera allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 36 and 34 shots on goal.
TBL 3.9 xG · 36 shots
VGK 3.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 11:40 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 16:58 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Alex Barré-Boulet · 2nd 08:25 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 15:55 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 16:28 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Brayden Point · 2nd 18:50 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 05:31 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Paul Cotter · 3rd 09:44 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Nick Paul · 3rd 18:47 · 5–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 61.
TBL 61%VGK 39%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 11:40 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 16:58 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Alex Barré-Boulet · 2nd 08:25 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 15:55 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 16:28 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Brayden Point · 2nd 18:50 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 05:31 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Paul Cotter · 3rd 09:44 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Nick Paul · 3rd 18:47 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
9
Victor Hedman, Brayden Point · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5–4
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.