TBL
2–3
FLA
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 17-14-5
2–3
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 20-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
09010210229
FLA
11019112331
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 17-14-5 · FLA 20-12-2 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.0 expected goals); the Lightning lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 29 shots
FLA 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 04:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 01:24 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 00:29 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 03:11 · 1–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (29%)
5
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 03:31 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 47.
TBL 47%FLA 53%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 04:16 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 01:24 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 00:29 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 03:11 · SH · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (29%)
5
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 03:31 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Gustav Forsling, Aleksander Barkov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
