TBL
1–5
NYR
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 17-15-5
1–5
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 25-9-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
01411308135
NYR
291527521
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 17-15-5 · NYR 25-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Rangers
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.4 expected goals); the Lightning lost 1–5. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 21 shots on goal.
TBL 2.4 xG · 35 shots
NYR 2.4 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artemi Panarin · 1st 01:51 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Vincent Trocheck · 1st 07:36 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (64%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 17:39 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Chris Kreider · 2nd 18:30 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 11:16 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 15:26 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 51.
TBL 51%NYR 49%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artemi Panarin · 1st 01:51 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Vincent Trocheck · 1st 07:36 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (64%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 17:39 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Chris Kreider · 2nd 18:30 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 11:16 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 15:26 · PP · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/21 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
