TBL
4–3
MTL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 18-15-5
4–3
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 15-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
042729420
MTL
0921317329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 18-15-5 · MTL 15-16-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Canadiens
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Lightning erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — 's equalizer — and won 4–3. Samuel Montembeault allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 20 and 29 shots on goal.
TBL 2.4 xG · 20 shots
MTL 2.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cole Caufield · 2nd 03:58 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Johnathan Kovacevic · 2nd 11:59 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 14:01 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
· 2nd 17:36 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Calvin de Haan · 3rd 07:49 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 14:54 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 17:55 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 42.
TBL 42%MTL 58%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cole Caufield · 2nd 03:58 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Johnathan Kovacevic · 2nd 11:59 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 14:01 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
· 2nd 17:36 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Calvin de Haan · 3rd 07:49 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 14:54 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 17:55 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
