Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 20-17-5
3–2
Final / OTW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 20-10-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
011072912329
LAK
06280800222
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 20-17-5 · LAK 20-10-7 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Kings
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Lightning erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Hagel's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Perbix's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.4, on 29 and 22 shots on goal.
TBL 3.3 xG · 29 shots
LAK 1.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.2
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Phillip Danault · 2nd 11:31 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Matt Roy · 2nd 14:30 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
· 3rd 12:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:39 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nick Perbix · OT 02:03 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 81.
TBL 81%LAK 19%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Phillip Danault · 2nd 11:31 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Matt Roy · 2nd 14:30 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
· 3rd 12:37 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:39 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nick Perbix · OT 02:03 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.